NFL Draft 2023 Odds Best prop bets advice for the first five picks

NFL Draft 2023 Odds Best prop bets advice for the first five picks

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The 2023 NFL Draft is inching closer, and with that comes an influx of betting props. As the end of April nears, legal sportsbooks will dish out a bevy of draft-centric props, ranging from odds on certain pick numbers to the over/under of players selected from college programs like Georgia and Ohio State.DraftKings Sportsbook's posted markets on which players will be selected with the first five picks of the draft, and we've listed and broken down how we think the top five could progre s. Which quarterback is the favorite lock to land in Carolina? Will the Cardinals trade down from No. 3 overall?Odds courtesy of DraftKings SportsbookPlayerNo. 1 Overall Pick OddsBryce Young-1200C.J. Stroud+800Anthony Richardson+1500Will Levis+4000Will Anderson+15000Christian Gonzalez+20000Qunetin Johnston+20000Tyree Wilson+20000When the No. 1 overall pick odds first dropped, Young was priced as the odds-on favorite at-135. Amani Oruwariye Jersey Since then, we've seen Carolina trade up with Chicago to claim the first selection, plusthe Scouting Combine and Pro Days. At one point in early April Stroud was asignificant favorite to land in Carolina at-330, but now Young's returned to as the overwhelming favoriteto hold up the No. 1 jersey next to Commi sioner Roger Goodellat -1200.Had it not been for Stroud's (+800) dominant performance against Georgia in the Peach Bowl, it's likely Young would be the sure-fire pick to go first overall. Stroud's seen as the better pocket pa ser, but Young has a superior ability to improvise when the pocket breaks down.Stroud did utilize his legs when plays broke down in the Peach Bowl, though, attempting a career-high 12 rushes against the Bulldogs. The Georgia tape is convincing enough for Carolina to expend the first pick on him, but with Young likely sitting atop most team's draft boards, we certainly see why the market has shifted in the former Heisman winners' favor.The lights are never too bright nor is the moment too big for Bryce Young. Whatever you want to call it: intangibles, playmaking, grace under pre sure, hes got some special traits that cant be coached. Kyle Lindemann (@LuckIsMadeFF) Sure, Young's durability is a worry given his stature, but he's the most polished QB in this draft cla s. His poise and ability to extend plays under pre sure will translate to the next level, and the man's simply a winner. Alabama's WR corps last season was not nearly as talented as seasons past, but Young still found a way to compile the sixth-highest QBR (86.2) while posting an elite 32:5 TD-to-INT rate.Betting Advice:Given how substantial a favorite Young (-1200) is, we're not risking $1,200 to win $100 on him to be drafted first overall. Although he's likely the Panthers' D'Andre Swift Jersey future franchise quarterback, his implied odds of 92.31 percent are already baked into the betting market.PlayerNo. 2Overall Pick OddsWill Anderson+150Tyree Wilson+250Will Levis+250C.J. Stroud+275Bryce Young+850Jalen Carter+1500Anthony Richardson+1800Bijan Robinson+10000With Young expected to already be off the board here, Stroud was a -220 favorite to land in Houston, but now Anderson (+150) sits with the best odds to go No 2. Could we see the Texans select either Anderson or Texas Tech EDGE Tyree Wilson (+250) and wait until pick No. 12 to go quarterback?That's entirely po sible, and with this market consistently shifting, it's anyone's gue s as to whoNick Caserio and company feel is thebest fit at No. 2 overall. Stroud's plummeted to the fourth-best odds in the market, even sitting behind Levis (+250). Is this a smokescreen?Betting Advice:Even though the market's moved against him, we're enticed by Stroud's +250 price tag to go No. 2 overall. We could see Houston waiting until pick 12 to go with a QB (likely Levis) or riding out the Davis Mills experienceone more year before trying their hand at drafting 2024 QBs Caleb Williams or Drake Maye.PlayerNo. 3 Overall Pick OddsC.J Stroud+125Will Anderson+250Anthony Richardson+300Tyree Wilson+400Will Levis+800Jalen Carter+1200Devon Witherspoon+4000Bryce Young+5000Stroud's now the favorite to go No. 3 at +125, which likely means Arizona's trading out of the No. 3 pick. Sure, Kyler Murray (knee) isgoing to mi s a decent chunk of next season and a new regime is in town, but it's tough to expect Arizona to abort ship with Murray one year after signing him to afive-yearextension.SN's NFL Draft expert, Vinnie Iyer, , and at +250, betting Anderson to be the first defensive player off the board is appealing.If Houston opts to bypa s drafting Stroud, we could see his odds spike here if the Cardinals indeed trade down from No. 3. Arizona could wait until draft day to announce a deal, so in this case we'd recommend refraining from betting into this market given the wide range of potential outcomes. However, if you're eager to place a wager, given Arizona ends up staying put, we'd roll with Jonathan Gannon and company selecting Anderson.Betting Advice: Given the uncertainty around Arizona's decision, we'd pa s on betting on the third pick, but Anderson (+250) is an option if they stay up.PlayerNo. 4Overall Pick OddsWill Levis+150C.J. Stroud+250Will Anderson+390Anthony Richardson+425Tyree Wilson+1500Jalen Carter+2500Devon Witherspoon+3000Christian Gonzalez+3000Levis is the newfavorite to go No. 4overall, and with Indianapolis likely drafting a QB, it's wouldn't besurprising to see Chris Ballard and company take Levis (+150) here. We think Stroud's (+250) off the board here, but the betting market thinks there's a chance he's still available. Anderson could potentially still be on the board if the Cardinals trade down from No. 3, so it's not surprising to see the two-time SEC Defensive Player of the Year listed with the third-best odds at +390.Betting Advice: The Colts are a tough team to gauge exactly how they'll approach drafting their future franchise QB, but we'll trust the market on bet on Levis (+150) to become the team's next franchise quarterback despite our worries about his accuracy and footwork.PlayerNo. 5Overall Pick OddsWill Anderson+200Tyree Wilson+250Jalen Carter+300Anthony Richardson+600C.J. Stroud+800Will Levis+1200Devon Witherspoon+1300Christian Gonzalez+1800The draft starts to get even more interesting Frank Ragnow Jersey at pickfive, and even though Anderson is the favorite to go to Seattle, we still think he lands in Arizona at No. 3 a suming the Cardinals don't trade down. Therefore, we think either Wilson(+250) or Carter(+330) is the best bet to end up as a Seahawk. Carter's off-field i sues have resulted in him being projected with a wide range of outcomes in several mock drafts, but from a talent perspective, it's tough to pa s up on him at fifth overall.There's a good chance Richardson (+600) is still on the board, which could result in Seattle potentially trading down with a QB-needy franchise, giving him some value here for those who feel he's worthy of a top-five selection.Betting Advice:As we mentioned above, "we think either Wilson (+250) or Carter (+330) is the best bet to end up as a Seahawk." You can wager on both Wilson and Carter to go fifth overall, and if one of the two gets picked, you'll end up in the black.
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